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Weekly Report

Australian ETF - Weekly Review (18 October 2026)

Joshua Stega

Joshua Stega

— 22 min read
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Australian ETF - Weekly Review (18 October 2026)

Market correction hits technology this week; Some early signs of rotation; but a few more weeks of volatility is expected.

➡️Mid Term Election Pressure is Normal

  • As we approach the US mid-term election cycle in November, what usually happens based on history?

➡️US Earnings Season

  • Ramping up in the next few weeks - more volatility is expected:

Here is what we cover each and every week:

  • Market Health-o-Meter
    • The signal let’s us know if it is a good time to invest or not.
  • US ETF Risk On / Off Measure
    • This secondary signal provides further confirmation.
  • Best Ideas Satellite Performance
    • We put our best ideas to the test.
  • Key Ideas Count
    • More ideas usually means better markets.
  • Paid Subscribers Actionable Summary
    • Our concise summary for subscribers for the week ahead.
  • Key Ideas (Satellite Model Portfolio)
    • We show the buy and stop loss triggers.
  • Review: Best Ideas Satellite Portfolio Review
    • Our trades, and our plan for the week ahead.
  • ETF Movers
    • Weekly
    • Monthly
  • ETF Asset Class Review
    • Cash
    • Currency
    • Core ETFs
    • Income ETFs (including income model portfolio)
    • Crypto Assets
    • Commodity
    • Australian Index
    • Australian Sector
    • Equity Global
    • Equity Asia & Emerging Markets
    • Global Theme
    • Global Tech
    • Global Infrastructure
  • ETF in Focus

Market Health-o-Meter

Current Reading = 🔴

We track 17 key ETFs covering a broad range of markets and sectors to gauge the health of the markets from an Australian investor perspective.

➡️A slight improvement to last week, which demonstrates rotation in markets.

  • Above 10 Day Moving Average = 8/17 🔴
  • Above 20 Day Moving Average = 9/17 🔴➡️🟠
  • Above 50 Day Moving Average = 6/17 🔴
  • Above 200 Day Moving Average = 6/17 🔴

Signal History

  • Demonstrates the performance of the S&P500, ASX200 and a core portfolio holding (e.g. VDGR) from the period of our signal changes so far in 2026:
  • The choppy nature of this signal gives you all the information you need to know about being an Aussie investor at the moment - it has been challenging.

US ETF Risk on / Risk off

Current Reading = 🟠➡️🔴

We track 9 key ETFs listed in the US to gauge risk tolerance.
  • The US markets selling off here has caused us to go red again.

➡️ Performance since inception 1 June 2025:

  • Cash is king for now…

Portfolio Data (100% cash holding)

  • Our last position was stopped out.
  • We avoid market corrections by raising cash and protecting our gains:

Key Ideas Count

Here are the number of key ideas we have for the best ideas satellite model portfolio for the week ahead - the stronger the market, the more ideas we will have because the charts will reflect this.