Australian ETF - Weekly Review (6 September 2026)

A short term top for precious metals and resources; Aussie financials in a dangerous spot; We wait patiently for the next move in markets.

➡️Gold as a Hedge

• A fading correlation between bullion and risk assets like equities suggests gold's traditional value as a hedge has returned after a period of speculative trading.

➡️Food Inflation Incoming

• Global food prices rose in August to the highest since the end of 2022 .
• The threat of an unusually powerful El Niño means weather risks are unlikely to fade anytime soon, keeping global food markets vulnerable to another inflationary shock.

Here is what we cover each and every week:

• Market Health-o-Meter
  • The signal let’s us know if it is a good time to invest or not.
• US ETF Risk On / Off Measure
  • This secondary signal provides further confirmation.
• Best Ideas Satellite Performance
  • We put our best ideas to the test.
• Key Ideas Count
  • More ideas usually means better markets.
• Paid Subscribers Actionable Summary
  • Our concise summary for subscribers for the week ahead.
• Key Ideas (Satellite Model Portfolio)
  • We show the buy and stop loss triggers.
• Review: Best Ideas Satellite Portfolio Review
  • Our trades, and our plan for the week ahead.
• ETF Movers
  • Weekly
  • Monthly
• ETF Asset Class Review
  • Cash
  • Currency
  • Core ETFs
  • Income ETFs (including income model portfolio)
  • Crypto Assets
  • Commodity
  • Australian Index
  • Australian Sector
  • Equity Global
  • Equity Asia & Emerging Markets
  • Global Theme
  • Global Tech
  • Global Infrastructure
• ETF in Focus

Market Health-o-Meter

Current Reading = 🟠

We track 17 key ETFs covering a broad range of markets and sectors to gauge the health of the markets from an Australian investor perspective.

➡️We remain on 🟠 here.

• Above 10 Day Moving Average = 9/17 🟠
• Above 20 Day Moving Average = 6/17 🔴
• Above 50 Day Moving Average = 9/17 🟠
• Above 200 Day Moving Average = 11/17 🟠

Signal History

• Demonstrates the performance of the S&P500, ASX200 and a core portfolio holding (e.g. VDGR) from the period of our signal changes so far in 2026:
• The choppy nature of this signal gives you all the information you need to know about being an Aussie investor at the moment - it has been challenging.

US ETF Risk on / Risk off

Current Reading = 🟠

We track 9 key ETFs listed in the US to gauge risk tolerance.

• A little improvement, but still 🟠

➡️ Performance since inception 1 June 2025:

• We are biding our time to take on new positions in the coming weeks.

Portfolio Data (44% cash holding)

• We hit some stops, so raised our cash.
• We avoid market corrections by raising cash and protecting our gains:

Key Ideas Count

Here are the number of key ideas we have for the best ideas satellite model portfolio for the week ahead - the stronger the market, the more ideas we will have because the charts will reflect this.